Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.035348 0.038642 0.042111 0.046037 0.050361 0.054980 0.060292
2026-02-08 0.028356 0.032919 0.038041 0.044226 0.051508 0.059828 0.070080
2026-02-15 0.023577 0.028776 0.034931 0.042781 0.052566 0.064408 0.079899
2026-02-22 0.020815 0.026515 0.033580 0.043029 0.055403 0.071157 0.092887
2026-03-01 0.018018 0.023800 0.031252 0.041629 0.055813 0.074679 0.101934
2026-03-08 0.015396 0.020979 0.028420 0.039151 0.054375 0.075417 0.107078
2026-03-15 0.013759 0.019290 0.026891 0.038211 0.054834 0.078644 0.115861
2026-03-22 0.012869 0.018532 0.026543 0.038847 0.057515 0.085184 0.130053
2026-03-29 0.012104 0.017866 0.026241 0.039473 0.060174 0.091856 0.145042
2026-04-05 0.011166 0.016853 0.025322 0.039051 0.061136 0.095940 0.156253
2026-04-12 0.010349 0.015949 0.024477 0.038643 0.062037 0.099939 0.167636
2026-04-19 0.009529 0.014969 0.023431 0.037803 0.062125 0.102563 0.176864
2026-04-26 0.008657 0.013857 0.022113 0.036449 0.061303 0.103695 0.183815
2026-05-03 0.007933 0.012934 0.021033 0.035407 0.060922 0.105559 0.192313
2026-05-10 0.007296 0.012105 0.020046 0.034434 0.060565 0.107413 0.200971
2026-05-17 0.006944 0.011729 0.019788 0.034706 0.062446 0.113451 0.218226
2026-05-24 0.006397 0.010977 0.018825 0.033629 0.061737 0.114594 0.225936
2026-05-31 0.005762 0.010025 0.017444 0.031674 0.059200 0.112011 0.225790
2026-06-07 0.005368 0.009477 0.016744 0.030932 0.058922 0.113777 0.234828
2026-06-14 0.005187 0.009302 0.016707 0.031441 0.061129 0.120664 0.255502
2026-06-21 0.005017 0.009135 0.016670 0.031941 0.063352 0.127776 0.277455
2026-06-28 0.004750 0.008767 0.016229 0.031606 0.063829 0.131278 0.291665
2026-07-05 0.004504 0.008424 0.015811 0.031282 0.064295 0.134786 0.306260